Skip to content
Saturday 22 August 2026London --:--Frankfurt --:--Zurich --:--
NewslettersSearchEN · DE · FR
MorningWire

European business, markets and politics

FTSE 100
10,816.56
+0.64%
DAX
26,136.56
+0.59%
CAC 40
8,484.43
+0.37%
STOXX 50
6,462.22
+0.63%
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Politics
  • Opinion
More
GermanyFranceEU InstitutionsCompetitionPublic AffairsBankingTechnologyEnergy
  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Politics
  • Opinion
  • DE
Friday 01 April 2016 12:01 pm

EU referendum: Voting intention is split but belief that the UK will remain falls

By: James Nickerson

Add as a preferred source on Google

With the EU referendum looming nearer and nearer both sides are evenly split, but people's perception of the outcome have started to change.

Remain and Leave both have 35 per cent of support, with 30 per cent undecided, according to a TNS poll.

However, in previous polls a larger proportion of people, while not necessarily voting to remain, believed the outcome of the referendum would result in the UK's continued membership of the EU.

Read more: Will leaving the European Union lead to more sovereignty for the UK?

Belief in the UK remaining in the EU has fallen from 41 per cent to just 33 per cent, while the proportion of people who anticipate Brexit has remained at 28 per cent. Those who don't know have increased from 31 per cent to 38 per cent.

"A shift in the perceived outcome of the referendum could prove significant as the next ten weeks roll on. It shows that while the country remains decidedly split on how they will vote, people are beginning to sense a shift in the nation’s mood," Luke Taylor, head of social and political attitudes at TNS UK, said.

Read more: Why the use of data by EU campaign groups should be taken with a tablespoon of salt

He added: "Although voting intention doesn’t show a winning side yet, this could be an indication of things to come."

The poll comes as campaigns attempt to woo voters ahead of the referendum on 23 June. 

Share this article

  • Facebook
  • X
  • LinkedIn
  • WhatsApp
  • Email

Similarly tagged content:

Sections

  • News

Categories

  • Business
  • Politics

Trending Articles

  • House prices in wealthy London boroughs fall by up to £300,000

  • As it happened: FTSE 100 rallies after JD Sports drags on blue chips; oil jumps again

  • Mike Ashley’s Frasers offers to pay personal shoppers in Harvey Nichols takeover

  • Ratcliffe’s Ineos saves Runcorn plant

  • Amazon says it buys books in bulk to ‘improve products’

More from Morning Wire

  • Why HMRC is huge Premier League transfer window tax headache

    Sport Business
    Two jubilant soccer players in white England jerseys celebrate a goal on the field.
  • Brits think supermarkets are profiteering – despite slowing food inflation

    Retail
    Shopper with red backpack and blue basket walking through a supermarket aisle filled with groceries
  • Offshore legal giant Mourant eyes expansion with private equity boost

    Prof Services
    Mont Orgueil Castle overlooking Gorey Harbour with boats and waterfront buildings in Jersey, Channel Islands.
  • EV targets set to be watered down

    Transport & Infrastructure
    Car bodies on an assembly line in a UK car plant, showcasing EV manufacturing process
  • Family feud: London estate agent Winkworth sues chair over plot with wife to oust son from board

    Property
    Winkworth estate agent For Sale sign in front of a brick building, indicating property prices and availability.
  • Silence Therapeutics Announces Positive Topline Results from Phase 2 SANRECO Trial of Divesiran in Polycythemia Vera, Supporting its Potential Best-in-Class Profile

    Business Wire
  • Activist investor accuses The Works chair of working from home – in New Zealand

    Retail
    The Works store at Westfield Shepherds Bush with increased foot traffic after activist investor boosts stake in retailer
  • Public sector makes wage growth higher than expected

    Economics
    London has defied national trends as job postings in the capital rose.
MorningWire

Independent European business, markets and political news for decision-makers.

Morning Briefing

Europe

  • Germany
  • France
  • EU Institutions
  • Europe

Business

  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Competition
  • Public Affairs

Editorial

  • Opinion
  • Editorial Policy
  • Corrections
  • Contact

Company

  • About Morning Wire
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Cookie Policy
© 2026 Morning Wire Ltd · Published by Morning Wire Media, Bahnhofstrasse 65, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland
Privacy · Terms · Cookies · Facebook