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Saturday 29 October 2016 11:40 am

Polls could well be wrong on US election just like they were with Brexit, says Nigel Farage

By: Rebecca Smith

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Nigel Farage had some words of warning for those dismissing Donald Trump's chances in the US presidential election.

Speaking on his LBC show, the former Ukip leader said: "They thought Brexit wouldn't happen."

Discussing his appearance in Mississippi alongside the Republican presidential candidate, Farage said: "I was there to talk about Brexit and possible crossover with the American elections and what struck me meeting the audience afterwards were the sheer numbers of them, that had never voted in their lives."

Read more: What happens to the US economy if Trump's elected and gets his way?

He felt these newly engaged voters could prove decisive.

They saw Trump as being the big fight back against an establishment that had got too rich, too powerful and was ignoring their views and to me, it's what I've thought ever since then, that whatever the opinion polls say they may well be wrong. After all, they were wrong about Brexit. When it went on the day of that referendum, a respected pollster put the Remain side 10 points in the lead.

Farage said he was noticing that millions of people were registering to vote who had never voted before and suspected that "quite a few of those" were pro-Trump. 

Farage's own party has been in disarray since he stepped down as leader. His successor Diane James stepped down after just 18 days, while leadership favourite Steven Woolfe quit earlier this month, calling the party "ungovernable". He was hospitalised in Strasbourg following an altercation with another of Ukip's politicians Mike Hookem.

As for polls, perhaps they're no longer the answer…

An artificial intelligence system called MogIA has correctly predicted the past three presidential elections, as well as the Democratic and Republican primaries. 

Read more: Trump and Brexit have done businesses a big favour

It uses 20m data points from online platforms like Google, YouTube and Twitter to dish up its predictions.

Fans of Hillary Clinton, look away now. 

"If Trump loses, it will defy the data trend for the first time in the last 12 years since internet engagement began in full earnest," said Sanjiv Rai to CNBC. Rai is the founder of start-up Genic.ai, and developed MogIA.

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