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Economics

  • Reeves’ impossible mission to save the public finances – in four charts

    May 22, 2025

    Government borrowing spiked in April, according to official data, in a stark illustration of the difficult fiscal tightrope that the Chancellor Reeves is walking. The £20.2bn in monthly borrowing was steeper than economists’ prediction of £18bn. So, Reeves might have shivered when she heard Keir Starmer tell the House of Commons winter fuel payments would [...]

  • UK government borrowing blows past estimates on Labour’s spending plans

    May 22, 2025

    Government borrowing spiked in April, official data has shown, reflecting Rachel Reeves’s difficulties in controlling public finances.  The rise to £20.2bn in monthly borrowing was more than economists’ prediction of £18bn. Capital Economics suggested that the rise in borrowing costs since March via debt interest payments has slashed Reeves’ headroom down to £5.7bn. Tax receipts [...]

  • Reeves warned against bank tax raid

    May 21, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has been warned of the growth consequences of upping tax on lenders after a leaked memo from Angela Rayner called for the Chancellor to launch a cash grab on banks. Reeves was sent a memo by the Deputy Prime Minister ahead of the spring Statement, which called for an annual £700m hike on [...]

  • The £582m plan to create new UK economic powerhouse

    May 21, 2025

    Plans to create a new economic growth zone in the West Midlands which is tipped to provide a £582m boost to the UK have been revealed. Land on the Wolverhampton/South Staffordshire border has been earmarked for ‘The Central Edge’ project while 14,700 jobs could be created. According to project leaders, the scheme would include 16.4 [...]

  • UBS creates AI tool to monitor interest rate cuts  

    May 21, 2025

    UBS has created an AI model that takes a view on central bank’s hawks and doves when interest rates are set in a bid to cut through the noise of hard-to-read press conferences.  In a new policy paper spanning 38 pages, the Swiss bank revealed that its new tool is adept at “measuring the tone [...]

  • Reeves’ taxes push inflation to 3.5 per cent in ‘Awful April’

    May 21, 2025

    Inflation bounced back up to 3.5 per cent in April, official data has revealed, underlining the cost burden firms are taking on after Chancellor Reeves’ tax hikes on employers and rise to the national living wage came into effect.  Consumer price inflation rose by 1.2 per cent on a month-on-month basis, higher than the last [...]

  • Reeves takes comfort in the promise of future growth

    May 21, 2025

    The government is having a good week. The Prime Minister, in particular, has a spring in his step following his UK-EU ‘reset’ summit. Addressing MPs in the House of Commons yesterday he seemed to have grown taller. True, it only takes a glance at pictures from last week of Starmer meeting Albania’s 6ft 7in leader [...]

  • Reeves’ risky borrowing policies prompt fresh tax hike fears

    May 20, 2025

    Tax hike fears are gathering pace as rising borrowing costs are set to wipe out around half of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ small £9.9bn headroom, a leading economics consultancy has warned.  Reeves made around £14bn in spending cuts at her Spring Statement two months ago but left herself with one of the slimmest fiscal buffers on [...]

  • Insolvency levels hit highest level in eight months in Awful April

    May 20, 2025

    April insolvency levels soared to their highest level in in eight months, official data has shown, reflecting businesses’ helplessness in the face of higher employment costs and the looming threat of President Trump’s tariffs.  Over 2,000 companies collapsed last month, with most owners filing for voluntary liquidation and some 105 firms going into administration.  If [...]

  • Starmer meets BlackRock’s Larry Fink for growth talks

    May 20, 2025

    The Prime Minister this morning met the boss of the world’s largest money manager, in the latest such conversation as part of ministers’ growth agenda. Sir Keir Starmer held discussions with Larry Fink, who leads the $11.6tn giant BlackRock. Fink was pictured leaving Downing Street on Tuesday morning. This follows on from the American billionaire’s [...]

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