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Economics

  • Bank of England record recession warning reinforced by fresh research

    November 7, 2022

    A new survey out today reinforces the Bank of England’s warning last week that the UK is headed for the longest recession on record. The economy last month was functioning at the same level as during the teeth of the 2021 winter Covid-19 lockdown, according to consultancy BDO. The firm’s output index, which measures the [...]

  • Hunt faces potential Tory backlash as he draws up plans to raise £50bn

    November 6, 2022

    There are growing government fears about a potential Tory backlash against Jeremy Hunt’s fiscal statement as he looks to find ways to raise £50bn. Hunt will raise taxes and cut future real-terms spending in his 17 November autumn statement, with the chancellor looking at proposals to freeze Income Tax thresholds as a part of a [...]

  • Euro on course to stay below US dollar parity for some time, Goldman warns

    November 6, 2022

    The euro is on course to stay below parity with the US dollar for some time if gas prices do not fall markedly, a top Wall Street bank has said. The currency used by the 19 countries that make up the eurozone is set to drop to $0.94, according to Goldman Sachs. The euro last [...]

  • Bank of England watchers eye Pill and Ramsden speeches

    November 6, 2022

    Bank of England watchers are in for a bumper week as several top rate setters provide hints on the trajectory of UK monetary policy after last week they said the economy is on course for the longest recession on record. Despite the bleak projections by the Bank, London’s FTSE 100 fared well last week, climbing [...]

  • Global food prices drop to lowest levels since invasion of Ukraine

    November 5, 2022

    Global food prices have fallen to their lowest levels since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, UN data shows. Food prices have fallen back down to levels last seen at the start of 2022, before Russia’s February invasion of the breadbasket of Europe caused food prices to surge, data from the United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Organization [...]

  • China doubles-down on zero-Covid policy

    November 5, 2022

    China is set to continue with its current approach to tackling Covid-19, Chinese government officials said on Saturday. China will persevere with its “dynamic-clearing” approach to tackling Covid, officials from the China National Health Commission told a news conference today. The statements follow claims made by a former Chinese disease control official, at a conference [...]

  • Exclusive: Brexit bites into London’s FX trading as Singapore and New York seize City’s derivatives share

    November 5, 2022

    London’s status as the global hub for FX and derivatives trading is under threat for the first time since Brexit. According to new findings shared exclusively with Morning Wire today, a study by the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) found that while the UK remains the leading hub for currencies and interest rate derivatives trading, [...]

  • Exclusive: ‘We have to believe the FCA does things in our best interest’ says fintech chief

    November 5, 2022

    Telecom giant EE said this morning it is planning to burst onto the fast-growing cyber security scene. The operator unveiled new products such as alarm systems and an online cyber security package. The telco’s move underpins the fast-growing character of the cyber security space. Particularly the need for ID verification online seems to be stronger than [...]

  • Editorial: Andrew Bailey’s guidance is a sign of just how shaky the economy looks

    November 4, 2022

    The latter is always second guessing where governor Andrew Bailey and the rest of the monetary policy committee will send interest rates. The former rarely provides any clues. Investors’ rate expectations are shaped by thousands of pieces of data, but they essentially boil down to a couple of key themes. Firstly, inflation. Markets make their [...]

  • Bank of England delivers largest rate hike since 1989 and signals more to come

    November 3, 2022

    The Bank of England today hiked interest rates by the largest amount since 1989 and signalled more rises are coming. The Bank’s rate setting committee voted unanimously to lift borrowing costs 75 basis points to three per cent, the highest level since 2008 and the eighth rise in a row. The pound shed more than [...]

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