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Economics

  • UK unemployment rate falls close to 45-year low, but wage growth slows

    December 17, 2019

    The UK’s unemployment rate fell back close to a 45-year low between August and October, according to official data today, but economists warned the new government must solve the “puzzle” of flagging wage growth. The unemployment rate fell to 3.8 per cent to register just 1.28m people who are unemployed, a fall of 93,000 or [...]

  • OBR: Accounting changes push up UK borrowing by £20bn a year

    December 16, 2019

    The UK’s budget watchdog has said that government borrowing will increase by around £20bn a year due to accounting changes, highlighting the fine line chancellor Sajid Javid will have to tread to meet his new spending rules. The Office for Budget Responsibility’s updated forecasts (OBR) showed that the budget deficit – the difference between spending [...]

  • Former trade bosses question Boris Johnson’s 2020 EU deal claims

    December 16, 2019

    Four former trade and business secretaries have criticised Boris Johnson’s claims that he can strike a comprehensive trade deal with the European Union by the end of 2020. In interviews with Morning Wire, Sir Vince Cable, Lord Michael Heseltine, Lord Peter Mandelson and Lord John Hutton – all ex-presidents of the Board of Trade – [...]

  • A deal by (next) Christmas? Ex-trade bosses weigh up PM’s claims

    December 16, 2019

    No delays, no excuses. That was the mantra of Boris Johnson’s hugely successful election campaign. At its heart was an ambitious commitment to get a trade deal with the European Union wrapped up by the end of the transition period – 31 December 2020. The private view of Brussels bosses is not optimistic. “Eleven months [...]

  • UK PMI: Manufacturing malaise sinks economy to 41-month low

    December 16, 2019

    Private sector activity in the UK slumped again in December, dragged down by the fastest drop in manufacturing output since July 2012. Overall UK output dropped to 48.5 in December from 49.3 the previous month, hitting a 41-month low, according to the UK’s flash composite purchasing managers’ index (PMI), compiled by IHS Markit. Read more: [...]

  • Eurozone PMI: Economy mired in worst spell since 2012

    December 16, 2019

    The Eurozone’s economy is stuck in its worst spell in six years, economists warned today, after it failed to gain momentum at the close of 2019. Output barely increased in December, registering a score of just 50.6 on IHS Markit’s Flash Eurozone purchasing managers’ index (PMI) Composite Output Index today. Anything below 50 represents a [...]

  • US trade representative: Phase one of deal is ‘totally done’

    December 16, 2019

    The first phase of a US-China tariff deal is “totally done”, according to US trade representative Robert Lighthizer. Last night Lighthizer said there would be some routine “scrubs” to the text but “this is totally done, absolutely.” Read more: Trump: US to suspend tariffs Speaking on CBS’ “Face the Nation”, he said that a time [...]

  • Bank of England set to hold interest rate ahead of next governor announcement

    December 15, 2019

    The Bank of England is this week expected to hold interest rates at 0.75 per cent, despite pressure from some quarters for a further quarter-point cut. On Thursday the Bank’s nine-member monetary policy committee, which is responsible for setting the interest rate, will announce its decision. Read more: Mark Carney appointed UN climate envoy ahead [...]

  • City reacts: Business ‘eager for clarity’ after Boris Johnson’s election victory

    December 13, 2019

    As Boris Johnson enjoys his General Election victory, business leaders have woken bleary eyed – but largely satisfied – with the news. For many, it was a sigh of relief, after London business groups had strongly opposed Labour’s policies of renationalisation and higher taxation. Sterling surged last night, settling around $1.347, while the FTSE 100 opened 0.8 [...]

  • US stock markets rise as Donald Trump says China deal ‘VERY’ close

    December 12, 2019

    New York’s stock markets have opened higher after President Donald Trump tweeted that the US is “VERY close to a BIG DEAL” with China. The excited Twitter outburst marks a turnaround from Trump’s views of the situation last week, when he said he would happily wait until after the late-2020 US presidential elections to strike [...]

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