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Wednesday 09 September 2026 6:30 am  |  Updated:  Wednesday 09 September 2026 7:04 am

FTSE 100 Live: Stocks to fall as oil prices near $100; Bailey warns inflation risk ‘on upside’

By: Felix Armstrong and Samuel Norman

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Welcome back to the Morning Wire FTSE 100 liveblog.

Welcome back to Morning Wire’s FTSE 100 liveblog.

The UK’s blue-chip index is set to fall on Wednesday morning, according to futures from IG.

Speaking late on Tuesday, Andrew Bailey caused fresh speculation that the Bank of England could hike interest rates when he said that risks to inflation remain “on the upside”. The central bank boss told MPs that energy prices “could be higher still” in coming months, as the Strait of Hormuz remains largely blocked.

Oil prices marched on during late trading on Tuesday, reaching their highest level since July 23. Brent crude – the international benchmark for oil prices – rose by nearly one per cent to teeter below $98 per barrel. This latest hike came after Saudi Arabia’s state-run press agency said attacks by the Iran-backed Houthi militants on several energy facilities wounded several people.

Dan Coatsworth, AJ Bell’s head of markets, said that this latest jump in oil prices could spook global markets by raising fears that interest rates will stay higher for longer, as central banks seek to guard against inflationary pressures.

He said: “History suggests investors should be alert rather than alarmed when oil trades above $90 per barrel. The impact on markets depends not only on the oil price itself, but also on why it is rising and how long it remains elevated.”

Ahead of the latest economic growth figures later this week, food industry leaders have issued the latest warning that the impacts of the Iran war could be yet to fully take hold.

The Food and Drink Federation (FDF) has said that food inflation will soar to four per cent later this year and above six per cent by next summer, as the higher supply chain and energy costs caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz begin to feed through.

We’ll be bringing you the latest market updates and analysis.

This morning’s top stories:

  • Food inflation set to surge next year as Iran war ramps up supply costs
  • Revolut US licence win ‘strengthens pre-IPO story’
  • Investors fret as UK fintech chief bows out
  • Black market cigarette trade ‘accelerating high street decline’, Co-op tells Burnham
  • ‘Breathtaking arrogance’: Khan slams Westminster ‘vertical drinking’ curbs
Read more

Bailey warns on inflation risks as Iran war roils UK economy

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey addressing financial stability concerns at a press conference
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