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Tuesday 18 July 2023 8:00 am  |  Updated:  Tuesday 18 July 2023 8:17 am

Grocery inflation remains ‘incredibly high’ but falls for fourth straight month thanks to supermarket promotions

By: Morning Wire reporter

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General View Of Morrisons Supermarket
Supermarket promotions helped the figure fall to 14.9 per cent in the four weeks to July 9, down from 16.5 per cent  over the previous month, according to analysts Kantar. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)

Grocery price inflation has seen the biggest drop since its peak in March but remains “incredibly high”, figures show.

Supermarket promotions helped the figure fall to 14.9 per cent in the four weeks to July 9, down from 16.5 per cent  over the previous month, according to analysts Kantar.

It is the fourth month in a row that inflation has fallen from its peak of 17.5 per cent  in March.

The latest drop comes as supermarkets ramp up promotions, with spending on them up for the first time in two years, accounting for 25.2 per cent  of the market.

Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, said: “This will be good news for many households although, of course, the rate is still incredibly high.

“One of the biggest shifts we’ve seen in this area is retailers ramping up loyalty card deals like Tesco’s Clubcard Prices and Sainsbury’s Nectar Prices.

“This could signal a change in focus by the grocers who had been concentrating their efforts on everyday low pricing, particularly by offering more value own-label lines.

“The boost to promotional spending has contributed to bringing inflation down but this isn’t all that’s driving the change. Prices were rising quickly last summer so this latest slowdown is partially down to current figures being compared with those higher rates one year ago.”

Households would have spent £683 more on their annual grocery bill to buy the same items as they did a year previously under the current level of inflation but have adapted their habits to limit the increase.

Read more

Great Britain Leads Europe’s FMCG Inflation as NIQ Launches New Inflation Barometer

Mr McKevitt said: “It’s clear that shoppers have dramatically changed their behaviour to combat inflation, whether by trading down to cheaper products or visiting different grocers.

“The average annual increase to household spending over the past 12 months has actually been £330 – well below the hypothetical £683.”

Wimbledon contributed to spending on strawberries and fresh cream rising by 16 per cent  and 13 per cent  respectively compared with last year, and shoppers will have been relieved to see the average price for a pack of strawberries up by just 1p on last summer.

June’s barbecue weather saw volume sales of chilled burgers up 7 per cent  and chilled dips by 5 per cent. 

Hayfever remedies grew by 16 per cent over the past month as people dealt with seasonal allergies.

Sainsbury’s sales grew by 10.7 per cent  edging out Asda and Tesco at 10.5 per cent  and 10.2 per cent  respectively.

Aldi was again the fastest growing grocer, with sales up by 24 per cent.

By Josie Clarke, PA Consumer Affairs Correspondent

Read more

Temporary inflation slowdown set to boost Burnham

Rising inflation graph with increasing percentage symbols, highlighting economic trends and financial market impact

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