Skip to content
Friday 28 August 2026London --:--Frankfurt --:--Zurich --:--
NewslettersSearchEN · DE · FR
MorningWire

European business, markets and politics

FTSE 100
10,810.75
+0.17%
DAX
26,538.09
+0.65%
CAC 40
8,407.98
+1.06%
STOXX 50
6,478.11
+0.83%
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Politics
  • Opinion
More
GermanyFranceEU InstitutionsCompetitionPublic AffairsBankingTechnologyEnergy
  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Politics
  • Opinion
  • DE
Thursday 19 January 2017 11:36 am

Here’s what will happen to house prices if markets crash this year

By: Emma Haslett

Add as a preferred source on Google

This year may have been record-breaking for the FTSE 100 so far – but the year is yet young, and with Brexit negotiations and Donald Trump's presidency still to come, a lot could go wrong.

So online estate agent Emoov has helpfully donned its tinfoil hat and worked out what could happen to UK house prices if there is a 2008-style market apocalypse.

The bad news is, homes in the capital could stand to lose £850 in value a week in the event of another financial crisis. The good news? Er, there is no good news. 

Emoov modelled its data on the 21 months between the end of 2007 and the beginning of 2009, when the previous financial crisis was at its worst. 

Read more: This is the only part of the country where house prices are falling

It applied the same percentage decrease to the current average house price – and found £36,393, or 16.7 per cent, could be wiped off the average UK house price.

The largest decrease will take place in the South East, where house prices stand to fall 17.6 per cent, or £55,146. That's followed by the East of England, where prices fell 17.4 per cent in the previous crisis – which today could be equivalent to £48,432.

In the capital, meanwhile, prices fell 16.3 per cent last time – which would now be equivalent to a drop in value of £78,267.

“Although the UK property market as a whole is faring very well, there are signs that the London market, particularly the prime central end, is running out of steam heading into 2017," said Emoov chief executive Russell Quirk.

"Even so, it is unlikely that we will witness a market crash as monumental as the one we experienced a decade ago, so homeowners should rest assured that this research acts as a warning of what the worst case scenario might look like with London homeowners losing £858 a week in property value." Phew. 

Read more: London house prices edged closer to £500,000 in November

Share this article

  • Facebook
  • X
  • LinkedIn
  • WhatsApp
  • Email

Similarly tagged content:

Sections

  • News

Categories

  • Business
  • Property

Trending Articles

  • Jamie Carragher: HMRC petitions for Sky Sports star to be declared bankrupt

  • Brewdog founder James Watt hits out at ‘total silence’ over new venture

  • Lloyds Bank and Halifax users unable to use app in latest outage

  • Economists urge Bank of England to halt bond sales as borrowing costs climb

  • As it happened: FTSE 100 falls but Nasdaq soars after Nvidia sales boom

More from Morning Wire

  • House prices in wealthy London boroughs fall by up to £300,000

    Property
    Waverton Investment Management and London & Capital combined into W1M.
  • House prices suffer biggest August slump in eight years 

    Property
    Aerial view of colorful residential houses built on a hillside, nestled among green trees, representing housing markets
  • 22 months of cuts: Jobs crisis deepens despite growth boost 

    Economics
    London has defied national trends as job postings in the capital rose.
  • Luxury London property developer collapses as housing market slows

    Property
    Person walks past a real estate agents window displaying properties for sale and to let.
  • As it happened: FTSE 100 mixed; oil breaks $91 as Trump rules out new US-Iran ceasefire

    FTSE 100 Live
    Donald Trump speaking emphatically at a podium, wearing a navy suit and blue tie, with a microphone and lights visible.
  • Octopus boss Greg Jackson calls for ‘urgent reform’ on energy as bills rise

    Politics
    Octopus Energy, which was founded by Greg Jackson, is to spin-off Kraken. Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • As it happened: Miners fuel FTSE 100 recovery; oil jumps as Trump claims Strait of Hormuz

    FTSE 100 Live
    FTSE 100 stocks rise as Brent crude oil prices jump 1.8% to $104.98 amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and Trumps Iran stance
  • As it happened: Stocks fall into red as oil fluctuates over Middle East developments

    FTSE 100 Live
    Large oil tanker navigating a strait under a cloudy sky, impacting oil prices and global trade.
MorningWire

Independent European business, markets and political news for decision-makers.

Morning Briefing

Europe

  • Germany
  • France
  • EU Institutions
  • Europe

Business

  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Competition
  • Public Affairs

Editorial

  • Opinion
  • Editorial Policy
  • Corrections
  • Contact

Company

  • About Morning Wire
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Cookie Policy
© 2026 Morning Wire Ltd · Published by Morning Wire Media, Bahnhofstrasse 65, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland
Privacy · Terms · Cookies · Facebook