Skip to content
Tuesday 11 August 2026London --:--Frankfurt --:--Zurich --:--
NewslettersSearchEN · DE
MorningWire

European business, markets and politics

FTSE 100
10,852.87
-0.09%
DAX
26,321.35
-0.01%
CAC 40
8,721.98
-0.05%
STOXX 50
6,544.25
+0.13%
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Technology
  • Politics
  • Opinion
More
GermanyFranceBankingAIEnergyFintechPropertyCapital Markets
  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Technology
  • Politics
  • Opinion
  • DE
Wednesday 22 June 2016 11:14 am

EU referendum: Poll of polls puts Leave ahead

By: James Nickerson

Add as a preferred source on Google

With just one day of campaigning left a poll of polls analysis has put Leave ahead by one percentage point.

The Financial Times poll of polls today shows Leave having claimed 45 per cent of the vote to Remain's 44 per cent.

However, that means that 11 per cent are undecideds. As we've reported in more detail, these voters tend to sway toward the perceived safer option, and could swing the vote.

Read more: What the polls aren't telling you

The latest two polls have put Remain marginally ahead, but Leave has also won a number in recent weeks, suggesting the vote could go down to the wire.

Voters will turn out to vote tomorrow in the historic decision, after months of intense and, at times, bitter campaigning.

Read more: Davidson more likely to succeed Cameron after Wembley TV debate

A record number of people are eligible to vote in tomorrow's EU referendum, after the biggest ever voter registration drive helped hundreds of thousands to get their names on the electoral roll.

Turnout is expected to be a key determinant in the outcome of the vote given how close the vote will be.

That's more concerning for the Remain side given polling suggests their supporters are less likely to vote.

Share this article

  • Facebook
  • X
  • LinkedIn
  • WhatsApp
  • Email

Similarly tagged content:

Sections

  • News

Categories

  • Business
  • Politics

Trending Articles

  • Nottingham Forest owner Marinakis sues Crystal Palace for defamation

  • Back to basics: Sainsbury’s gradual retreat from the British high street

  • Hargreaves Lansdown orders staff back to office

  • As it happened: Intel, Arm shares slide; Oil climbs higher

  • Five-star Mayfair hotel hit with HMRC winding-up petition

More from Morning Wire

  • Brits say Burnham should call an election

    Politics
    Number 10 Downing Street entrance with iconic black door, symbolizing British political power and leadership
  • Has Nigel Farage peaked too soon?

    Opinion
    Nigel Farage delivering a speech in July 2026, wearing a suit, addressing an audience at a political event.
  • The debate: should voting be compulsory?

    Opinion
    Ipsos Mori is one of the largest polling companies operating in the UK.
  • Farage quits to stand in ‘people versus establishment’ by-election

    Politics
    George Cottrell and Nigel Farage engaging in a conversation at a political event, both dressed in formal attire.
  • Labour defends Burnham’s ‘very powerful’ No 10 North plans

    Politics
    Houses of Parliament in Westminster showcasing historic architecture under a clear sky, central to UK government and politics
  • Burnham bounce: PM gets popularity boost – at Farage’s expense

    Politics
    Andy Burnham laughing outdoors in a candid moment, May 2026, capturing a lighthearted political event atmosphere.
  • Brazen Burnham should call an election and put his ten year plan to the voters

    Politics
    Andy Burnham speaking to media outside 10 Downing Street with a crowd gathered.
  • Silly season is upon us but politics will get serious soon enough

    Politics
    Count Binface
MorningWire

Independent European business, markets and political news for decision-makers.

Morning Briefing

Europe

  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • UK & Ireland

Business

  • Markets
  • Banking
  • Technology
  • Energy
  • Property
  • Fintech

Editorial

  • Opinion
  • Editorial Policy
  • Corrections
  • Contact

Company

  • About Morning Wire
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Cookie Policy
© 2026 Morning Wire Ltd · Published by Morning Wire Media, Bahnhofstrasse 65, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland
Privacy · Terms · Cookies · Facebook