Asian stocks climb to four-month high on US jobs data
Asian stocks rallied to a four-month high today on robust US payrolls data and a brisk pickup in Chinese service sector activity but a surge in coronavirus cases in the US kept a lid on further risk-taking.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.5%, reaching their highest level since late February, while Japan’s Nikkei .N225 rose 0.4%.
Mainland Chinese shares, which were among the best performers over the past month, extended gains, with the Shanghai composite index .SSEC hitting a high last seen in April 2019.
China’s services sector expanded at the fastest pace in over a decade in June, the Caixin/Markit services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) showed, as the easing of coronavirus-related lockdown measures revised consumer demand.
“Recovery in China’s domestic demand is accelerating, even though the external demand is still weak. Thus investors are shifting to domestic-demand oriented sectors,” said Wang Shenshen, senior strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.
S&P 500 futures were down 0.1% ESv1 but volumes were lower than usual due to a U.S. markets holiday on Friday for Independence Day.
The country’s nonfarm payrolls surged by 4.8m jobs in June, above the average forecast of 3 million jobs in June, thanks to rises in the hard-hit hospitality sectors.
But economists noted there were caveats to the upbeat headline figures.
Even after two months of job recovery from May, the U.S. economy has recovered only just over a third of a historic plunge of 20.787m in April.
A separate report on jobless claims, the most timely data on employment, showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell just 55,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.427m for the week ended June 27.
The number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid rose 59,000 to 19.290 million in the week ending June 20.
The momentum of recovery faces more headwind as a surge of new coronavirus infections prompts U.S. states to delay and in some cases reverse plans to let stores reopen and activities resume.
More than three dozen US states saw increases in COVID-19 cases, with cases in Florida spiking above 10,000.
On the other hand, expanded unemployment benefits to support those who lost their jobs due to the pandemic are due to expire at the end of this month, though many investors think the Congress could extend the measure.
“Back to pre-pandemic (job levels), in my view, will be a matter of years,” Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of Quill Intelligence in Dallas, TX. “With luck, it will be two years but that is likely optimistic given the number of permanent closures we’ve learned of.”
Sino-U.S. diplomatic tensions have also cast a shadow.
The US State Department warned top American companies including Walmart (WMT.N), Apple (AAPL.O) and Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) over risks faced from maintaining supply chains associated with human rights abuses in China’s western Xinjiang province.
“China will keep a hard line stance towards the next year when the Chinese Communist Party will celebrate its 100th anniversary since its founding,” said Akira Takei, a bond fund manager at Asset Management One.
“Global companies can no longer have supply chains in China as they used to.”
In foreign exchange, major currencies were little changed, with the euro at $1.1245 EUR= and the yen changing hands at 107.52 per dollar JPY=.
Oil prices eased on concerns about the resurgence of the coronavirus globally and in the United States, the world’s largest oil consumer.
Brent crude LCOc1 fell 0.65% to $42.86 a barrel while U.S. crude CLc1 dropped 0.66% to $40.38 a barrel.