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Economics

  • Reeves held responsible as marginal growth expected

    April 8, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has had to watch the UK economy trudge along since she took up residence at 11 Downing Street. But even more bad news has been forecast to come before another lot this summer, and potentially no better news later this year.  This Friday, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is poised to [...]

  • Trump threatens 100 per cent tariffs on China

    April 7, 2025

    President Donald Trump has threatened to slap additional 50 per cent tariffs on China if it doesn’t withdraw its retaliatory measures, pushing the possible level of tariffs it faces on exports to the US to over 100 per cent.  In a post on Truth Social, the US president said retaliatory Chinese tariffs on US imports [...]

  • Four interest rate cuts this year pencilled in by markets

    April 7, 2025

    Markets are betting that the Bank of England will make up to four interest rate cuts this year, double what had been predicted in late March.  President Trump’s tariffs are set to drag UK growth back by up to one percentage point, according to various forecasters, while their impacts on inflation remain ambiguous, leading investors [...]

  • IFS boss: We’re screwed with or without trade deals 

    April 7, 2025

    The director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has suggested the UK could be heading for a recession as a trade deal may not be enough to revive crumbling markets or prevent a slump in economic growth.  Paul Johnson, who is set to leave the leading economics think tank in the summer, told Times [...]

  • More Brits ‘in financial strain’ as Trump frightens UK voters

    April 7, 2025

    Nearly two in five UK voters are either cutting their spending or are unable to pay essential bills due to ‘financial strain’, according to the latest Morning Wire/Freshwater Strategy poll, as President Trump’s tariffs are set to send Chancellor Reeves’ growth plans into disarray.  The Chancellor said at her Spring Statement in March that Brits [...]

  • Voters’ economic gloom worsens as tariff fears bite

    April 7, 2025

    UK voters are increasingly downbeat about the economy as President Trump’s tariff announcements have further dampened Brits’ confidence, according to the latest Morning Wire/Freshwater Strategy poll. The global economy is still reeling from the President’s Rose Garden speech, where Trump announced sweeping tariffs on countries around the world, with markets nosediving across Asia and Europe [...]

  • UK services sector ‘driving force’ behind growth, BDO says 

    April 7, 2025

    The UK’s services sector is the “driving force” behind marginal growth gains, research by the consultancy BDO has suggested, as other sectors’ performance has become increasingly lacklustre.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been urged to ease cost pressures on firms as her £25bn national insurance tax hikes, coming into effect this week, have weighed down on [...]

  • Reeves’ £25bn national insurance tax raid has arrived. What happens now?

    April 6, 2025

    Sorry, Lionel Richie. Businesses aren’t feeling easy like a Sunday morning. The new tax year is here. And Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ £25bn national insurance tax raid has fallen on thousands of firms.  From today, employers will pay a tax rate of 15 per cent on salaries above £5,000, down from £9,100 previously.  This secondary threshold [...]

  • Oil prices plummet as Saudis lead supply drive

    April 4, 2025

    Oil prices are falling to their lowest close since 2021 as eight countries including Saudi Arabia and Russia surprised market leaders by announcing an increase to production. The shock decision by the OPEC+ alliance, delivered via a video conference on Thursday, came less than 24 hours after President Trump’s Liberation Day tariff announcements intensified global [...]

  • Construction output drops again despite Rayner’s planning reforms

    April 4, 2025

    Construction activity has suffered a further decline and confidence is low despite minister Angela Rayner’s planning reforms getting a thumbs up from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).  Rayner’s Ministry of Housing is introducing broad changes to planning rules as it hopes to deliver the UK’s construction sector an extra boost.  Its planning reforms have [...]

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