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Economics

  • Inflation eases in March amid looming Bank decision

    April 16, 2025

    Inflation remained stubbornly high at 2.6 per cent in March, official data has shown, leaving Bank of England policymakers with a difficult decision to make on interest rates early next month.  The year-on-year increase in consumer price inflation (CPI) was lower than the 2.7 per cent figure forecast in a Bloomberg poll of economists.  The [...]

  • Firms scramble to ‘protect bottom line’ amid low growth

    April 16, 2025

    Firms across the UK are putting in “hard work” to limit cost pressures and maintain profits amid low growth, one of the country’s biggest banks has said.  Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s aggressive tax hikes at her last Autumn Budget have piled higher employment costs on businesses large and small, threatening to kill off some companies by [...]

  • Inflation expected to ease slightly in March amid uncertain future

    April 15, 2025

    Inflation in the month to March is expected to remain well above the Bank of England’s target rate of two per cent, putting policymakers in an awkward position ahead of a potential interest rate cut in May. A Bloomberg poll of economists said that consumer price inflation (CPI) on a year-on-year basis will hit 2.7 [...]

  • Small firm owners are leaving the UK en masse, survey finds

    April 15, 2025

    Small business owners up and down the country are packing their bags to escape a flurry of higher taxes, soaring costs and red tape, fresh data has found. Nearly two in five owners of small and medium-sized firms (SMEs) have either left the UK or are considering an imminent departure, according to a new survey, [...]

  • UK employers cut jobs as tax hikes bite

    April 15, 2025

    High wage growth persisted in the three months to February, official data has shown, but a rapid drop in payrolled employment pointed to concerning trends in the labour market. Annual growth in average weekly earnings excluding bonuses hit 5.9 per cent, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said on Tuesday. But separate tax data showed [...]

  • ‘State of despondency’ as tax raid sets up ‘harrowing year’ for firms

    April 15, 2025

    Business leaders’ worries over Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ tax hikes have plunged corporate confidence into “ominous territory”, a leading business association has warned. The Chancellor launched a multi-billion pound tax raid on British businesses in the Budget last October, and a new report has suggested that the impact of the hikes is continuing to weigh on [...]

  • Barclays: Consumers plan to ‘buy British’ amid escalating trade war 

    April 15, 2025

    British consumers are planning to buy more UK-made products as two thirds of adults fear tumbling markets could lead to a deterioration in household finances, new research by Barclays has shown.  President Donald Trump’s tariffs have dampened the UK’s economic outlook and put household finances under pressure.  Consumers are now rapidly responding to the changes, [...]

  • Why the UK can’t get a grip of its energy crisis 

    April 14, 2025

    A months-long cost-of-living crisis, state bailouts of consumer energy bills, endless planning rows, judicial interventions and now the near-collapse of Britain’s only manufacturer of virgin steel all show different sides to the UK’s ongoing energy crisis.  Its dependency on foreign imports, poor planning of infrastructure and lack of control over soaring bills means the extent [...]

  • Trump’s tariffs to cause pandemic-level fall in trade

    April 14, 2025

    President Donald Trump’s tariffs are set to knock trillions of dollars off world GDP, fresh forecasts suggest, as businesses reel from major disruption to global trading patterns. A spate of new tariffs on goods ranging from European cars to Chinese toys will take the US’ effective tariff rate from 2.5 per cent to over 20 [...]

  • Trump, tariffs and GDP: How do you forecast uncertainty?

    April 12, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), one of the UK’s central forecasters, prepared itself for President Trump’s tariff war – or at least partially.  At a presentation after Chancellor Reeves’ Spring Statement, OBR chair Richard Hughes admitted the fiscal watchdog’s central forecast risked being completely undermined by global events.  Hughes came up with three possible [...]

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