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Economics

  • Rachel Reeves – “Gilty” as charged

    January 16, 2025

    The verdict is in. The Gilt market has found the Chancellor Rachel Reeves guilty of reckless endangerment of the country’s finances. A large electoral majority led her to think the world would happily finance what she described in her Mais Lecture as the “smart and strategic state”. Sticking to fiscal rules is for nought if [...]

  • UK economy grows just 0.1 per cent following Budget

    January 16, 2025

    Economic momentum has ground to a halt since Labour took office while business confidence has also fallen sharply, particularly in the wake of October's Budget.

  • How ‘twin deficits’ have fuelled turmoil in the gilt market

    January 16, 2025

    The sell-off eased slightly on Wednesday following positive inflation figures, but yields remain well ahead of where they were just a few weeks ago.

  • Reeves has dodged a bullet but she’s surrounded by landmines

    January 16, 2025

    After all the excitement of a ministerial resignation, it’s time to check in on the government’s growth agenda. After all, the fate of individual politicians is of no significance when viewed against the major economic challenges facing the government, and the country. Talking to City CEOs, particularly those in the pension and investment sectors, it’s [...]

  • Vacancies back to pre-pandemic levels as UK jobs market slows

    January 16, 2025

    The number of vacancies in the UK economy has fallen back in line with pre-pandemic levels, according to new figures from the REC.

  • FTSE 100 rises and gilts recover but Reeves isn’t out of the woods just yet

    January 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves was dealt some welcome good news after a surprise drop in inflation that saw gilt yields fall at the fastest pace in over a year on Wednesday, but some economists fear the development represents a temporary reprieve with inflation at risk of rebounding in the coming months. New figures from the Office [...]

  • US inflation rises slightly but core prices weaker than expected

    January 15, 2025

    US inflation rose at a slightly weaker pace than expected last month, but it is unlikely to be enough to prompt the Federal Reserve into cutting interest rates in the near future. The latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the headline rate picked up to 2.9 per cent in December, up [...]

  • Inflation: ‘Relief’ for Reeves or a ‘temporary reprieve’?

    January 15, 2025

    Inflation unexpectedly fell in December, but is it 'relief' for Rachel Reeves or just a 'temporary reprieve'?

  • Inflation falls to 2.5 per cent in boost for Chancellor Rachel Reeves

    January 15, 2025

    The inflation figures come amid a sell-off in the gilt market, which has raised doubts about the government's fiscal plans and even prompted calls for the Chancellor to resign.

  • Gilt yields stable ahead of crucial UK inflation data

    January 14, 2025

    The yield on the 10-year gilt crept lower on Tuesday afternoon, leaving it on track to break six days of consecutive rises.

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