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Economics

  • Coronavirus to spark “severe” global recession

    March 20, 2020  |  City Talk

    The coronavirus is having a severe effect on global economic activity and amidst considerable uncertainty we have attempted to gauge the impact and updated our forecasts. We now expect to see the world economy contract this year by 3.1%, before rebounding by 7.2% in 2021. The forecast incorporates a severe recession in the first half [...]

  • Bank of England slashes rates to historic low amid coronavirus pandemic

    March 19, 2020

    The Bank of England has slashed interest rates to a new record low and will pump £200bn into the economy through its quantitative easing (QE) bond-buying programme as it seeks to curb the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. The Bank today held an emergency meeting and cut its main rate by 15 basis (0.15 percentage [...]

  • Britons least optimistic about economy since 2008 financial crash

    March 19, 2020

    Britons are the least optimistic they have been about the economy since 2008’s financial crash, a new survey by pollster Ipsos Mori has found. The new poll, which was conducted between 13 and 16 March, shows that 69 per cent of people think that the economy will get worse in the next 12 months. In [...]

  • Tory MPs attack Treasury’s coronavirus response and call for ‘radical’ measures

    March 19, 2020

    Tory MPs have told the government to start paying British workers’ wages directly and to ramp up benefits payments “today”. Conservatives from across the party said the chancellor’s response to the economic fallout from coronavirus had not gone far enough and would not prevent mass unemployment. Former business secretary Greg Clark said in the House [...]

  • Economists: Germany must act as it ‘speeds’ towards coronavirus recession

    March 19, 2020

    Germany, the European Union and the European Central Bank (ECB) must work together to take “massive and targeted” measures to prevent an economic collapse in the face of coronavirus, one of the country’s top think tanks has said. The Ifo Institute warned the German economy could shrink by a massive six per cent in 2020 [...]

  • Huge ECB stimulus programme pushes down Eurozone bond yields

    March 19, 2020

    Bond yields have fallen across the Eurozone as investors and governments breathe a sigh of relief following the European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision to buy €750bn (£709bn) of assets in a huge programme to counter the economic effects of coronavirus. The yield is the amount the investor receives from a bond – government debt – [...]

  • How are the banks battling coronavirus?

    March 18, 2020  |  City Talk

    As countries ramp up efforts to control the pandemic, the economic impact of Covid-19 is having an impact on currency values by creating a significant amount of market volatility. Typically when businesses are faced with large-scale uncertainty, the pound is volatile and the current situation with Covid-19 is adding pressure to currencies, including sterling. The [...]

  • DEBATE: Is now the time for the UK to trial a temporary Universal Basic Income?

    March 18, 2020

    Is now the time for the UK to trial a temporary Universal Basic Income? YES, says Julian Jessop, an economics fellow at the Institute of Economic Affairs. In normal times, cash payments regardless of individual need would be too expensive, poorly targeted, and distortionary. It is therefore right to use existing means-tested benefits (notably universal [...]

  • To pay for this crisis, the government must keep in mind Ricardian equivalence

    March 18, 2020

    John Maynard Keynes could certainly craft a neat phrase. In the Second World War, he wrote in his pamphlet How to Pay for the War: “It is only in a free community that the task of government is complicated by the cause of social justice.” The impact of the coronavirus pandemic is similar to a [...]

  • ‘Levelling up’ is as important for London as it is for the rest of the country

    March 17, 2020

    For many years there have been calls to bridge the UK’s stark north-south divide. These have come under many badges, from “rebalancing the economy” to “building a Northern Powerhouse”. Now, “levelling up” is the choice term for a government ambitious to deliver for voters who tore down Labour’s so-called “red wall” in December’s election. It [...]

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