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UK Interest Rates

  • FTSE 100 lenders cash in on market turmoil but provisions climb 

    May 5, 2025

    FTSE 100 banking giants saw trading income spike in the first quarter as investors sold-off stocks in the face of geopolitical tensions, but tariff threats continued to weigh on future earnings.  HSBC kicked off reporting season pocketing a $9.5bn (£7.1bn) pre-tax profit, which surged ahead of the $7.8bn pencilled in by analysts.  Barclays and Natwest [...]

  • Inflation eases in March amid looming Bank decision

    April 16, 2025

    Inflation remained stubbornly high at 2.6 per cent in March, official data has shown, leaving Bank of England policymakers with a difficult decision to make on interest rates early next month.  The year-on-year increase in consumer price inflation (CPI) was lower than the 2.7 per cent figure forecast in a Bloomberg poll of economists.  The [...]

  • Arbuthnot: Lender has ‘key advantage’ ahead of Bank of England rate cuts

    April 8, 2025

    Arbuthnot Banking Group is well-positioned for further interest rate cuts from the Bank of England, according to analysts despite its profit dropping by more than £10m during its latest financial year. The lender booked a £35.1m pre-tax profit in its full-year results – a drop of over £10m from 2023. Arbuthnot’s net interest margin – [...]

  • Blackpool Pleasure Beach to close rides as costs spiral

    March 24, 2025

    High inflation, interest rates and “significant increases” in the minimum wage have made turning a profit “harder to achieve”, the owner of Blackpool Pleasure Beach has said as it fell back into the red. The attraction, which dates back to 1896, also said the rising costs will force it to close some rides this year [...]

  • UK wage growth remains hot as Bank of England set to decide on interest rates

    March 20, 2025

    Wage growth has continued to soar, new figures have revealed. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said that annual regular pay, excluding bonuses, grew 5.9 per cent between November 2024 and January 2025. Total pay growth, which includes bonuses, increased by 5.8 per cent. “Overall pay growth remains relatively strong, with pay growth high in [...]

  • Bank of England expected to hold rates as inflation persists

    March 17, 2025

    The Bank of England is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.5 per cent this week as wage growth and inflation data remains sticky. Most analysts are expecting a seven to two vote in favour of a hold from the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, with external members Swati Dhingra and Catherine Mann voting [...]

  • GDP shrinks in January as UK economy prepares for upcoming tax hikes

    March 14, 2025

    The UK economy underperformed expectations in January. According to the latest set of gross domestic product (GDP) figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the economy shrank by 0.1 per cent in January as output was dragged down by a sharp drop in output in the production sector. Over the three months to [...]

  • Bank of England warns ‘age of uncertainty’ stopping rapid rate cuts

    March 5, 2025

    An “age of uncertainty”, especially over the path of inflation, means that rapid interest rate cuts are unlikely to be coming to the UK, top Bank of England officials have said. Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank of England, said the central bank was unlikely to make “larger and more rapid cuts to interest [...]

  • Interest rates to fall to 3.5 per cent City firm predicts

    February 27, 2025

    Paul Dales, chief UK economist at the City consultancy, said it was "very unusual" for the Bank of England to cut interest rates when inflation is expected to rise further even further above target.

  • Tariffs unlikely to spark persistent inflation, Bank of England rate-setter says

    February 26, 2025

    Swati Dhingra, a rate-setter at the Bank of England, said Donald Trump’s tariffs would likely push down on domestic inflation as global exporters slashed prices to maintain market share. Dhingra warned that the UK was “particularly sensitive” to changes in imported costs due to its openness, but suggested that the danger of tariff-induced inflation was [...]

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