Skip to content
Monday 17 August 2026London --:--Frankfurt --:--Zurich --:--
NewslettersSearchEN · DE · FR
MorningWire

European business, markets and politics

FTSE 100
10,720.30
-0.28%
DAX
26,338.61
-0.38%
CAC 40
8,579.60
-0.66%
STOXX 50
6,530.45
-0.14%
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Politics
  • Opinion
More
GermanyFranceEU InstitutionsCompetitionPublic AffairsBankingTechnologyEnergy
  • Germany
  • France
  • Europe
  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Politics
  • Opinion
  • DE
Tuesday 31 May 2016 3:47 pm

UK public leaning towards Brexit vote, says ICM poll

By: Mark Sands

Add as a preferred source on Google

Public opinion may have moved towards a Brexit vote, according to two new polls conducted by ICM.

Working with The Guardian, the pollster conducted both online and telephone polls, with respondents split 52-48 in favour of a vote to leave.

While those surveyed over the phone were more likely to respond that they "didn't know" how they would vote in late June, both polls show a lead for the Brexit campaign.

It comes after a separate poll also showed a dramatic reduction in the size of the Remain camp's lead, while bookmakers have also acted to reduce the odds on a Leave vote.

Read More: Record number of bets on Brexit

In a phone poll of more than 1,000 adults, 45 per cent said they favoured a vote to leave, while 42 per cent backed a vote to remain. 

47 per cent of online respondents said they would like to leave, compared to 44 per cent who said they would vote remain. 

The figures represent a dramatic swing on a similar ICM poll conducted in mid-May, which found a ten per cent lead for the remain camp on phone polling, while online surveys turned up a 52 per cent lead for Brexit.

Share this article

  • Facebook
  • X
  • LinkedIn
  • WhatsApp
  • Email

Similarly tagged content:

Sections

  • News

Categories

  • Business
  • Politics

Trending Articles

  • As it happened: FTSE 100 drops as oil prices rise after Trump makes Hormuz threat

  • US bond market jitters spark UK economy recession warning

  • Is the Zeekr 9X Super Hybrid the new luxury SUV to beat?

  • Grandparents fund university degrees to avoid inheritance tax net

  • Aldi boss wades into supermarket ‘price-gouging’ row

More from Morning Wire

  • Has Nigel Farage peaked too soon?

    Opinion
    Nigel Farage delivering a speech in July 2026, wearing a suit, addressing an audience at a political event.
  • Brits say Burnham should call an election

    Politics
    Number 10 Downing Street entrance with iconic black door, symbolizing British political power and leadership
  • The debate: should voting be compulsory?

    Opinion
    Ipsos Mori is one of the largest polling companies operating in the UK.
  • Nigel Farage wins in Clacton – and triggers investigation

    Politics
    Nigel Farage, in a striped jacket and sunglasses, speaks outside a polling station.
  • Tale of two cities: London leaps ahead in global finance but domestic growth stalls

    Economics
    Getty Images number 2154617464 depicts a relevant scene for the articles unidentified content, suitable for business context.
  • Should Burnham dash for an early election?

    Opinion
    Andy Burnham, wearing a dark suit and glasses, speaks outdoors with trees in the background.
  • Singapore on Thames or the Sick Man of Europe?: The Economics of Brexit Ten Years from the Referendum 

    Opinion
    UK-EU Brexit negotiations meeting with officials discussing trade agreements and policy impacts in a formal conference room
  • The Burnham bounce won’t last unless Brits get better off

    Opinion
    Andy Burnham smiling and holding a pint of beer and a smartphone in a pub setting
MorningWire

Independent European business, markets and political news for decision-makers.

Morning Briefing

Europe

  • Germany
  • France
  • EU Institutions
  • Europe

Business

  • Markets
  • Business
  • Economy
  • Regulation
  • Competition
  • Public Affairs

Editorial

  • Opinion
  • Editorial Policy
  • Corrections
  • Contact

Company

  • About Morning Wire
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Cookie Policy
© 2026 Morning Wire Ltd · Published by Morning Wire Media, Bahnhofstrasse 65, 8001 Zürich, Switzerland
Privacy · Terms · Cookies · Facebook