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Inflation

  • Reeves must listen to supermarkets rather than lecture them

    April 1, 2026

    Supermarkets begin preparing for Christmas at least six months before the anticipated peak of customer demand hits around December 23. Catering for this entirely predictable surge is in itself an astonishing commercial and logistical feat, but a little over six years ago the UK’s supermarkets were in the midst of an unprecedented challenge. As pandemic [...]

  • Andy Haldane: My mission to ignite Britain’s animal spirits

    March 31, 2026

    As the Bank of England’s chief economist, Andy Haldane had a front row seat to the maladies of UK’s sluggish economy. After a four-year stint running the RSA, he is back as president of the British Chambers of Commerce, and tells Ali Lyon business is still taxed mindlessly, over regulated, and far too risk averse. [...]

  • Unilever freezes hiring as Iran war poses ‘significant challenges’

    March 31, 2026

    FTSE 100 giant Unilever has placed a global freeze on hiring for at least three months as the Iran war wreaks havoc on global supply chains and fuel prices. The London-based business, which owns Dove soap and Hellman’s mayonnaise, told staff the ban on hiring will affect “all levels” of recruitment and was taken in [...]

  • Why high oil prices could plunge world into recession by the summer

    March 30, 2026

    The world economy is heading for a “rare” recession in the middle of this year as a prolonged war seems likely amid the prospect of US troops heading to the Middle East.  Economists have warned that activity will fall in the middle of the year if oil prices surge to $150 per barrel and remain [...]

  • UK economy set for second lowest growth in G7 – OECD

    March 26, 2026

    The UK economy is set to suffer the second lowest growth and second highest level of inflation in the G7, the OECD has predicted, in a damning set of forecast revisions for the Labour government and the Bank of England.  Growth in the UK will slow to around 0.7 per cent, according to the OECD, [...]

  • Consumer confidence collapses as Iran war provokes inflation fears

    March 26, 2026

    Brits’ confidence in the state of the economy has plummeted since the outbreak of war in Iran, as shoppers tighten their purse strings amid fears of sharp price rises. Consumer sentiment over the UK’s economy has fallen to its lowest level on record, down from -30 per cent to -53 per cent, according to trade [...]

  • Guinness Index: How much is a pint of the black stuff in your borough?

    March 25, 2026

    While the ONS has added hummus and dog grooming to its sample shopping basket in a bid to move with the times when tracking inflation – Morning Wire prefers a cooler metric: the Guinness Index.  Nothing encapsulates British consumer habits like Guinness’ meteoric rise: taking stout from the preserve of grey-haired aficionados to an ever-present [...]

  • Food industry warns of inflation ‘calm before the storm’

    March 25, 2026

    Food and retail bosses have warned the fall in food inflation is the “calm before the storm,” as business brace for the Iran war to push up energy costs. Trade body Food and Drink Federation (FDF) said Wednesday’s drop in food inflation – from 3.6 to 3.3 per cent year on year – could be [...]

  • Price growth set to almost double yet interest rate hike uncertain

    March 25, 2026

    Price growth could jump to as high as five per cent within months, economists have said, leaving the outlook for interest rates more uncertain.  Top City economists said they expected inflation to rise to nearly double the rate seen just before war in the Middle East broke out, leaving the Bank of England with a [...]

  • Inflation stays above Bank of England’s target before Iran war

    March 25, 2026

    Inflation in the year to February remained well above the Bank of England’s target rate in the last piece of price data covering the period before war in the Middle East erupted.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that CPI inflation over the 12 month period was three per cent, staying flat on the [...]

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